The latest NY Times/Quinnipiac poll predicts DOOM for the Romney campaign in the swing states of Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. This entirely hypothetical data runs dramatically counter to actual early voting figures coming out of another swing state, North Carolina. NC narrowly went for Obama in 2008, but which is shaping up to be a Romney blowout victory despite the DNC holding the 2012 convention there just weeks ago.
Are the polling subjects in these states experiencing a reality that detached from actual voters in North Carolina?
Jammie Wearing Fool catches the NY Times/Quinnipiac poll dramatically skewing the methodology of the poll to strongly over-sample Democrats:
So Obama is up 9 in Florida with a D+9 sample, up 10 in Ohio with a D+9 sample and up 12 in Pennsylvania with a D+11 sample. I notice in all the orgasmic news reports this morning none of them mention the ridiculous skew to the polls. But all you will hear all day is how big a lead Obama has.
Anyone can conduct a poll and manipulate the sampling methodology in order to manufacture a perception that does not line up with real public opinion, and by asking for more Democrats their opinion than there are Democratic voters in these states, NY Times/Quinnipiac is lying with statistics.
They do so in hopes of buoying their failed candidate, who faces a real world electoral and popular vote route as Americans divorce themselves from an utterly failed Presidency.